Market News & Analysis

RBA minutes reveal board discussed cuts; AUD edges lower

Apr 16, 2019 | Market Update

High-impact economic news:

18:30 GBP Average Earnings Index 3m/y
18:30 GBP Unemployment Rate
19:00 EUR German ZEW Economic Sentiment
22:30 CAD Manufacturing Sales m/m

The Australian dollar has edged lower late in the Australian forex session, following the release of the RBA minutes, from the April meeting. The AUD/USD pair was down 0.36% in late trade to 0.7145. Against the Japanese Yen, the Aussie fell 0.45% while the AUD/CAD declined 0.15%.

The sell-off comes after the RBA minutes confirmed a more dovish stance by the board. During the April meeting, the board left interest rates unchanged at a record low 1.5%. But a soften tone was evident in the Reserve Bank’s monetary policy statement, and today’s minutes confirmed the door is open to future rate cuts if the local economy deteriorates further.

“Members also discussed the scenario where inflation did not move any higher and unemployment trended up, noting that a decrease in the cash rate would likely be appropriate in these circumstances.

They recognised that the effect on the economy of lower interest rates could be expected to be smaller than in the past, given the high level of household debt and the adjustment that was occurring in housing markets.

Nevertheless, a lower level of interest rates could still be expected to support the economy through a depreciation of the exchange rate and by reducing required interest payments on borrowing, freeing up cash for other expenditure.”

Financial markets are now pricing in two interest rate cuts by the RBA this year.

Good trading from EightCap

* The information provided here has been prepared by EightCap’s team of analysts. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice. Any opinions made may be personal to the author and do not reflect the opinions of EightCap.

In addition to the disclaimer on our website, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. EightCap accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently, any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication.

Please note that past performance is not a guarantee of or prediction of future performance. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without prior permission.

 

 

 

 

 

HEAD OFFICE

Level 6, 360 Collins Street
Melbourne, VIC
3000 Australia

Risk Warning: Margin trading involves a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience before entering into any margined transactions with EightCap, and seek independent advice if necessary. Forex and CFDs are highly leveraged products which mean both gains and losses are magnified. You should only trade in these products if you fully understand the risks involved and can afford losses without adversely affecting your lifestyle (including the risk of losing substantially more than your initial investment). A Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) and a Financial Services Guide (FSG) for our products are available to download from our Legal Documentation page. You must assess and consider them carefully before making any decision about using our products or services.

EightCap is a registered business name of EightCap Pty Ltd (ABN 73 139 495 944). We are regulated by the Australian Securities & Investments Commission (ASIC) - our AFSL number is 391441. This licence authorises us to provide financial services to people in Australia.

The information on this website is of a general nature only and is not directed at residents in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation. EightCap is not a financial adviser, and does not issue advice, recommendations, or opinion in relation to acquiring, holding or disposing of a margined transaction. We provide general advice only and accordingly you should consider how appropriate the advice (if any) is to your objectives, financial situation and needs before acting on the advice.