Forex Update: EURUSD Struggling at Resistance with ECB to Come
Today’s focus EURUSD
Pattern – Resistance stall
Possible targets – 1.1165 Upside 1.0965 downside
Support –
Resistance – 1.1065
Indicator support – ECB meeting MA slope up
With the ECB to come, we are focusing on the EURUSD as the price continues to be held at 1.1065 resistance. Price has continued to trade in an up trend but, for now, remains held back at the resistance that started in April.
The ECB could be a short-term catalyst tonight. Rates are expected to be increased by 25 points. The talk is that the ECB could step back as core inflation slowed to 5.6%, and the inflation figure sits at 7%. A larger-than-expected credit drop and tighter leading criteria are other factors that could maintain the trend of small hikes. Another 25-point hike is forecast for June.
Another possibility could be a reduction in the balance sheet. QT has already been happening with a reduction in the massive bond holdings.
Price-wise, we will need something positive from the ECB to drive the EURUSD higher. Price continues to weaken at resistance, and the USD, another factor, continues to firm today. If the ECB confirms that rates may not rise as much as expected, it could push the EURUSD lower, maintaining resistance. If we see a hawkish surprise in the statement, this could be enough for the price to break resistance and start a new leg higher.
Don’t forget about the USD and tomorrow’s NFP. The USD is holding above 100.80 support, and if it can form a solid comeback with a more dovish ECB could set the EURUSD up for a leg lower.
Thanks for stopping by. Good trading, and have a great day.
* ຂໍ້ມູນທີ່ສະຫນອງໃຫ້ຢູ່ໃນຫນ້ານີ້ສະແດງຄວາມຄິດເຫັນຂອງຜູ້ຂຽນແລະບໍ່ຈໍາເປັນຕ້ອງສະທ້ອນຄວາມຄິດເຫັນຂອງ Eightcap ແລະບໍ່ໄດ້ຮັບການຮັບຮອງໂດຍ Eightcap.
ບຸກຄົນໃດໆທີ່ສະແດງຂໍ້ມູນທີ່ນໍາສະເຫນີຢູ່ໃນຫນ້ານີ້ເຮັດພຽງແຕ່ຢູ່ໃນຄວາມສ່ຽງຂອງຕົນເອງ. ບໍ່ມີຕົວແທນ ຫຼືການຮັບປະກັນ. ໂດຍບໍ່ຄໍານຶງເຖິງຄວາມຖືກຕ້ອງຫຼືຄົບຖ້ວນຂອງຂໍ້ມູນນີ້, ການຄົ້ນຄວ້າໃດໆທີ່ດໍາເນີນບໍ່ໄດ້ຄໍານຶງເຖິງຈຸດປະສົງການລົງທຶນສະເພາະ. ສະຖານະການທາງດ້ານການເງິນ ແລະຄວາມຕ້ອງການຂອງບຸກຄົນຜູ້ທີ່ອາດຈະໄດ້ຮັບຂໍ້ມູນດັ່ງກ່າວ.
ການຊື້ຂາຍ margin ມີຄວາມສ່ຽງສູງແລະອາດຈະບໍ່ເຫມາະສົມສໍາລັບນັກລົງທຶນທັງຫມົດ. ທ່ານຄວນພິຈາລະນາຈຸດປະສົງ. ທ່ານຄວນພິຈາລະນາສະຖານະການທາງດ້ານການເງິນ, ຄວາມຕ້ອງການແລະລະດັບປະສົບການຂອງທ່ານຢ່າງລະມັດລະວັງກ່ອນທີ່ຈະເຂົ້າໄປໃນການເຮັດທຸລະກໍາຂອບກັບ Eightcap ແລະຂໍຄໍາແນະນໍາຈາກທີ່ປຶກສາອິດສະຫຼະຖ້າຈໍາເປັນ.